MLB: Top Weekend Team Power Trends



2008-07-28

The final weekend of July baseball is on tap for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, and seemingly as always, plenty of playoff contending teams will go head-to-head in key series'. In continuation of our well-received weekend feature, here is a quick look at the top action on the schedule, along with a key trend that will be in play for each of the 15 series', taken right from the FoxSheets' Power Searches. Of course, it all starts with Yankees-Red Sox. It doesn't get any better than that in baseball.

The 3-game set between New York and Boston will once again highlight the betting board, and the games will be the 10th, 11th, and 12th time the rivals have met in 2008. Boston leads the series 5-4, but the Yankees too the most recent two at home about three weeks ago. In the only other series at Fenway this season, Boston took two of three in April. The Red Sox are thrilled to be back in Beantown, where they are 36-11, including 22-5 against teams scoring 4.7 or less runs per game in '08. The Yankees however, are riding a 6-game winning streak and have climbed back to within 3-games of the Sox. This current series should have as much at stake as any recent matchup of the rivals and should be hard fought.

The other big series in the American League also matches divisional rivals, this time the White Sox and Tigers from Detroit. The hosts are playing some of their best baseball of the season and have climbed to within 5-1/2 games of Chicago and the A.L. Central lead. The Tigers were the preseason favorite but have struggled to find consistency all year long. They'll be looking for a repeat of the series of mid-June when they swept the Sox in three games in Motown. Chicago boasts a stellar 27-14 divisional record however.

In the senior circuit, there are three key series' involving playoff contenders. The Cubs will continue a 4-game set with Florida looking to improve on the best home record in the league. The Phillies will look to rebound from a pair of back-to-back losses in New York when they host division rival Atlanta. Philadelphia has already won eight of nine games against the Braves in '08. Finally, the Mets, now alone atop the N.L. East standings will welcome St. Louis to town. The Cardinals had seemingly been in control of the N.L. Wildcard race all season long until this week when the Brewers got the best of them in St. Louis. Tony LaRussa's club will look to get it turned around as they begin a stretch of 10-straight games against the East, including the first six on the road.

With so much action to consider this weekend, here's a quick look at a Top StatFox Power Trend affecting each individual series.

FLORIDA at CHICAGO CUBS
FLORIDA is 13-33 (-16.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .275 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 4.2, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)

ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 29-7 UNDER (+20.7 Units) on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 3.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 5*)

SAN DIEGO at PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 14-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 4.7, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)

ST LOUIS at NY METS
NY METS are 65-33 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was NY METS 4.8, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)

COLORADO at CINCINNATI
COLORADO is 33-16 (+20.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 5.5, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 2*)

HOUSTON at MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 41-14 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.8, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 2*)

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA is 17-7 UNDER (+9.0 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.6, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)

WASHINGTON at LA DODGERS
WASHINGTON is 1-15 (-14.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 3.0, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 4*)

LA ANGELS at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 48-83 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 4.6, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)

CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT
CHI WHITE SOX are 27-14 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

NY YANKEES at BOSTON
BOSTON is 18-2 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.
The average score was BOSTON 5.3, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 4*)

SEATTLE at TORONTO
SEATTLE is 16-37 (-22.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.
The average score was SEATTLE 3.6, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 3*)

MINNESOTA at CLEVELAND
MINNESOTA is 18-5 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 5.4, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 4*)

TAMPA BAY at KANSAS CITY
TAMPA BAY is 2-15 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 2.9, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 1*)

TEXAS at OAKLAND
TEXAS is 9-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 7.1, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Two games dominate the landscape in Week 5 of CFL action. Montreal and British Columbia will meet trying to keep pace with conference leaders. The Alouettes are seeking to reconnect to winning ways, while the Lions will try for three victories in a row. (Free Foxsheet ready for this encounter) On Sunday, unbeaten Saskatchewan hosts Toronto, facing former quarterback, Kerry Joseph, who led them to Grey Cup title last season. Plenty of emotion for both players and fans alike in this matchup. The oddity of every team that has won the game outright, has covered the spread in all 16 contests played continues.


CFL: CFL Week 5 Action
Two games dominate the landscape in Week 5 of CFL action. Montreal and British Columbia will meet trying to keep pace with conference leaders. The Alouettes are seeking to reconnect to winning ways, while the Lions will try for three victories in a row. On Sunday, unbeaten Saskatchewan hosts Toronto, facing former quarterback, Kerry Joseph, who led them to Grey Cup title last season. Plenty of emotion for both players and fans alike in this matchup. The oddity of every team that has won the game outright, has covered the spread in all 16 contests played continues.

Friday, July 25

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